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BCAM Policy Seminar: Revealing the space for a peace agreement between parties in conflict, Elisa Cavatorta, Kings College

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Venue: Birkbeck Central

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Revealing the space for a peace agreement between parties in conflict

Elisa Cavatorta, Kings College

 

Abstract: This paper develops a novel conjoint analysis to study the preferences and priorities of ordinary citizens regarding the components of potential peace agreements between people in conflict. Our application is the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. This approach elicits preferences over competing issues, reveals acceptable and unacceptable trade-offs and visualizes the Zone Of Possible Agreement: the set of mutually acceptable peace deals, and within that set identifies cooperative bargaining solutions. We then study the expected net benefits that ZOPA deals might bring about and the extent to which expected outcomes drive support for peace. This approach reduces the complexity of multi-attribute negotiations by revealing `hidden' combinations of resolutions that receive most support on each side and could be fruitful agreements to negotiate. The approach has implications for conflict resolution and negotiations of all kinds.

 

 

 

Dr Elisa Cavatorta is a Reader in Economics in the Department of Political Economy and Vice Dean (International) in the Faculty of Social Science and Public Policy. Elisa holds a PhD in economics from Birkbeck, University of London. Before joining the department, she worked at the Institute for Fiscal Studies and the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London.
 

 

 

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