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Publications

Books

  • Risk Management in Commodity Markets: From Shipping to Agriculturals and Energy, Wiley Finance, 2008
  • Commodities and Commodity Derivatives: Pricing and Modeling Agricultural, Metals and Energy Wiley Finance, 2005
  • Co-Editor of Selected Publications from the Bachelier World Congress 2000. Springer Verlag, 2001
  • Weather and Insurance Derivatives, Risk Books, London, 1999

Selected Publications

  • "Investing in Fertilizer Mining Companies in Times of Food Scarcity" (with P. Vergel), forthcoming 2014, Resources Policy
  • "On the Lease Rate, Convenience Yield and Speculative Effects in the Gold Futures Market" (with G. Baroneadesi and J. Theal), forthcoming 2014, International Journal of Financial Engineering and Risk Management
  • "Mispricing and Trading Profits in ETNs", forthcoming 2014 (with L. Thukral et al.), Journal of Investing
  • "A Daily Trading Strategy in the ETN Space", Summer 2013 (with L.Thukral et al), Journal of Trading
  • "Are ETNs realizing their potential? An empirical investigation of ETNs vs. other exchange traded products in the precious metals space.", 2012 (with L. Thukral), Journal of Index Investing
  • "Theory of Storage, Inventory and Volatility in the LME Base Metals", 2012 (with W.O. Smith), Resources Policy
  • "Commercial Real Estate Inventory and Theory of Storage", 2012 (with R.Tunaru), Journal of Futures Markets
  • Seasonality in Cocoa Spot and Forward Markets: Empirical Evidence", 2012 (with S. Sarfo), Journal of Agricultural Extension and Rural Development
  • "Shipping Markets and Freight Rates: An Analysis of the Baltic Dry Index", 2012 (with W.O. Smith), Journal of Alternative Investments
  • "Price Volatility in Storable Commodity Markets: Speculation or Scarcity?", 2011, Swiss Derivatives Review
  • "Distortion Risk Measures for Hedge Funds", (with C. Kharoubi), 2011, Journal of Risk Management for Financial Institutions
  • "Commodities and Numéraire" (with Y. Shih), 2010, Encyclopedia of Quantitative Finance, Wiley Publisher.
  • "Realized Variance Options and Convex Orders", 2010, Quantitative Finance
  • "On the Lease Rate, Convenience Yield and Speculative Effects in the Gold Futures Market", 2009, Swiss Finance Institutes Research Paper
  • "On Pricing Risky Loans and Collateralized Fund Obligations", 2009, Journal of Credit Risk
  • "Forward Curves, Scarcity and Price Volatility in Oil and Natural Gas Markets", 2009, Energy Economics
  • "Modelling Electricity Prices with Forward Looking Capacity Constraints", 2009, Applied Mathematical Finance
  • "Modeling Commodity Prices under the CEV model", Winter 2009, Journal of Alternative Investments
  • "WTI crude oil Futures in portfolio diversification : The time-to-maturity effect", 2008, Journal of Banking and Finance
  • "Valuation of default-sensitive claims under imperfect information", 2008, Finance and Stochastics
  • "Correlations and the Pricing of Risks", 2008, Annals of Finance
  • "A lattice-based Method for the Pricing of Energy Derivatives in the Threshold Model", 2008, Applied Mathematical Finance
  • "Seasonal and Stochastic Features in Commodity Forward Curves", 2008, Review of Derivatives Research
  • "Time Consistency in Managing a Commodity Portfolio: A Dynamic Risk Measure Approach", 2008, Journal of Banking and Finance
  • "Water as the Next Commodity", 2007, Journal of Alternative Investments
  • "Understanding the Fine Structure of Electricity Prices" (with A. Roncoroni), 2006, Journal of Business, May
  • "Energy Commodity Prices: Is Mean-Reversion Dead?, Journal of Alternative Investment, Fall 2005
  • "From Measure Changes to Time Changes in Asset Pricing", 2005, Journal of Banking and Finance, Fall 2005
  • "Pricing Options on Realized Variance", (with P. Carr, D. Madan and M. Yor), 2005, Finance and Stochastics, October 2005
  • "Soybean inventory and forward curves dynamics", 2005, Management Science, (with V. Nguyen), Fall 2005
  • "From Local Volatility to Local Lévy Models", 2004, Quantitative Finance (with P. Carr, D. Madan and M. Yor)
  • "Stochastic Volatility for Lévy Processes", 2003, Mathematical Finance, (with P. Carr, D. Madan and M. Yor)i)
  • "Pure Jump Lévy Processes for Asset Price Modelling", 2002, Journal of Banking and Finance, 26, 1297-1316
  • "The Fine Structure of Asset Returns : An Empirical Investigation", 2002, Journal of Business (with P. Carr and M. Yor).
  • "Time Changes, Laplace Transforms and Path-Dependent Options", 2001, Computational Economics.
  • "Forward and Futures Contracts on Non-Storable Commodities : The Case of Electricity", 2001, RISK, August, (with O. Vasicek)
  • "Pricing and Hedging in Incomplete Markets", 2001, Journal of Financial Economics, October (with P. Carr and D. Madan)
  • "Time Changes for Lévy Processes", 2001, Mathematical Finance, Vol 11.1 ; (with D. Madan and M. Yor)
  • "The Bermuda Triangle : Electricity, Weather and Insurance Derivatives", 2000, Journal of Alternative Investments, September
  • "On the Role of State Variables in Interest Rate Models", 2000, Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 16 (with N. El Karoui and V. Lacoste)
  • "Asset Prices are Brownian Motion : only in Business Time", 2000, Chapter of the book Quantitative Analysis in Financial Markets, World Scientific Publishing Company ; (with D. Madan and M. Yor)
  • "Order Flow, Transaction Clock and Normality of Asset Returns", 2000, The Journal of Finance, October ; (with T. Ané)
  • "Fundamentals of Electricity Derivatives", 1999, Chapter of the book Energy Modelling and the Management of Uncertainty, RISK Books
  • "Learning about Risk : Some Lessons from Insurance", 1998, European Finance Review
  • "Pricing Power Derivatives", 1998, RISK , October, (with A. Eydeland)
  • "Stochastic Time Changes and Catastrophe Option Pricing", 1997, Insurance : Mathematics and Economics, 542, (with M. Yor)
  • "No Arbitrage Between Economies and Correlation Risk Management", 1997, Computional Economics, 10, (with R. Souveton)
  • "Stochastic Subordination", 1996, RISK, September, (with T. Ané)
  • "Changes of Numéraire, Changes of Probability Measures and Option Pricing" June 1995, Journal of Applied Probablity. (with N. El Karoui, J.C. Rochet) Reprinted in the book "From Vasicek and Beyond", editor Lane Hughston
  • "Domino Effect : Inverting the Laplace Transform", 1995, RISK, April. (with A. Eydeland) Reprinted in the book Over the Rainbow, 1995, editor Robert Jarrow
  • "Pricing Catastrophe Futures Contracts and Call Spreads : An Arbitrage Approach", March 1995, Journal of Fixed Income (with D. Cummins) Reprinted in the book "The Strategic Dynamics of the Insurance Industry", 1996, editors E. Altman and I. Vanderhoof
  • "Interest Rate Risk Management and Valuation of the Surrender Option in Life Insurance Policies", 1994, Journal of Risk and Insurance. Vol. 13, N°2, (with M.O. Albizzati)
  • "CAT Calls", 1994, RISK, Vol. 7, N°9 Reprinted in the book "Over the Rainbow", 1995, editor Robert Jarrow
  • "A Probabilistic Approach to the Valuation of General Floating-Rate Notes with an Application to Interest Rate Swaps", 1994, Advances in Options and Futures Research. (with N. El Karoui)
  • "Bessel Processes, Asian Options and Perpetuities", 1993, Mathematical Finance, Vol 4, N° 3, (with M. Yor)
  • "Risky Pension Benefits in an Overlapping Generations Model", 1992, with Y. Balasko, University of Geneva Working Paper
  • "Processus de Bessel, Options Asiatiques et Fonctions confluentes hypergéométriques", 1992, Note aux Comptes Rendus de l'Académie des Sciences (with M. Yor)
  • "A Stochastic Approach to the Pricing of Floating Rate Notes", 1991, RISK, Vol.4 (with N. El Karoui)
  • "Trading/Non Trading Time Effects in the French Futures Markets", 1991, Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance (with T. Schneeweis)
  • "A Framework for Interest Risk Analysis and Portfolio Management", 1989, American Stock Exchange Colloquium Proceedings. (with R. Portait)
  • "L'Importance de la Probabilité Forward Neutre dans une Approche Stochastique des Taux d'Intérêt", 1989, ESSEC Working Paper (Univ. Paris I Sorbonne PhD Dissert)
  • "Modélisation probabiliste de la structure par termes des taux d'intérêt", 1988, Annales de l'Institut Henri Poincaré

Contact details

Phone: +44 (0) 20 7631 6487
Email: h.geman@bbk.ac.uk
Room: 722
Office Hours: email for appointment